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Predictive Analytics Set to Address Potholes in San Diego, California

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San Diego’s Innovative Approach to Pothole Repair in Low-Income Neighborhoods

San Diego is taking significant strides toward enhancing city services in low-income neighborhoods, particularly in the realm of pothole repairs. City officials have recognized that the traditional complaint-based approach to addressing potholes has raised social equity concerns, as it has led to a disparity in reported issues across different income areas. This article delves into the city’s new predictive analysis strategy aimed at identifying pothole hotspots that often go unreported, particularly in economically disadvantaged communities.

The Challenge of Underreporting

Recent audits have highlighted a troubling trend: low-income neighborhoods report significantly fewer potholes compared to their higher-income counterparts. For instance, while each of the city’s nine districts should ideally account for approximately 11% of pothole reports, District 8, which encompasses South Bay, only accounts for 6%. Similarly, District 4 reports just 8%, and District 9, which includes mid-city areas, reports 11%. In contrast, wealthier districts like 2, 3, and 6 report 14% or more.

City Council President Sean Elo-Rivera, who represents District 9, pointed out that the expectations for city services in low-income areas have historically been set low. He noted that residents in these neighborhoods often face more pressing issues than potholes, leading to a lack of urgency in reporting them. Elo-Rivera emphasized that when expectations are low, the likelihood of residents reporting potholes diminishes significantly.

Addressing Equity Concerns

In response to these disparities, San Diego’s Streets Division is collaborating with the Office of Race and Equity and the Performance and Analytics Department to develop a predictive analysis model. This model aims to identify areas with a high likelihood of unreported potholes by considering various factors, including the overall condition of street segments and their recent maintenance history.

Patrick Hadley, a deputy director in the Transportation Department, explained that the analysis will incorporate data from a comprehensive survey conducted last year. This data will help pinpoint neighborhoods where potholes are likely to be prevalent but remain unreported due to barriers such as language differences, lack of access to technology, and diminished trust in government services.

The Role of Technology and Community Engagement

Councilmember Vivian Moreno, who represents District 8, echoed the sentiment that underreporting is a significant issue. She highlighted the barriers that residents face, including language obstacles and limited access to the city’s online complaint app, "Get It Done." Moreno’s observations underscore the need for improved communication and outreach efforts to ensure that all residents, regardless of their socioeconomic status, can report issues effectively.

Councilmember Joe LaCava, representing the affluent District 1, expressed his support for the new equity-focused approach. He noted that many residents in low-income neighborhoods may not have access to the necessary tools to report potholes or may feel hesitant to draw attention to their communities. LaCava’s perspective reinforces the importance of building trust and accessibility in city services.

Recent Improvements in Pothole Repair

Despite the challenges, San Diego has made notable progress in pothole repair efficiency in recent years. City officials report that potholes are now typically repaired within an average of three days, barring the rainy season. The backlog of reported potholes has also significantly decreased, with the highest recorded backlog last March being just 393—a stark contrast to previous years when it often exceeded 2,000.

Innovative strategies have contributed to this improvement, including the introduction of a new patching truck, purchased for $174,000, which is expected to enhance repair capabilities. Additionally, the city is exploring the implementation of mapping software to optimize repair routes, potentially increasing efficiency by allowing crews to address 27% more potholes without additional costs.

The Road Ahead

While San Diego’s efforts to improve pothole repair services are commendable, challenges remain. The city’s audit revealed that a significant portion of patch trucks were out of service for repairs, highlighting the need for more mechanics to maintain the growing vehicle fleet. Hadley acknowledged the complexity of the patch trucks, which are essential for effective pothole repairs.

As San Diego continues to refine its approach to pothole repairs, the focus on equity and predictive analysis represents a promising shift toward ensuring that all neighborhoods receive the attention they deserve. By addressing the underlying issues of underreporting and enhancing community engagement, the city aims to create a more equitable and responsive infrastructure for all its residents.

In conclusion, San Diego’s initiative to leverage predictive analysis in pothole repair is a vital step toward addressing social equity concerns in city services. As the city moves forward, it will be crucial to maintain momentum and ensure that all neighborhoods, particularly those that have historically been underserved, receive the necessary resources and attention to improve their quality of life.

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